Capital Markets
June 18, 2020

Economic Forecast: Outlook for Recovery Improving, but Numerous Risks Remain

Evercore ISI economist Dick Rippe lays out the case for second-half growth after a first-half plunge.The increased difficulty of cash forecasting and other financial planning since the COVID-19 outbreak means that many treasury and finance teams are eager to hear informed economic analysis and forecasts while we all wait for a vaccine. At a NeuGroup meeting in late May, Dick Rippe, managing director and economist at Evercore ISI, provided his firm’s US and global economic outlook and responded to member questions. Mr.…
BankingCapital Markets
June 11, 2020

The Loan Road Ahead: Steep Prices May Linger Longer Than Short Tenors

Post-pandemic advice from U.S. Bank for treasury teams: keep close to your banks. Unlike the booming bond market, corporates still face restrictions on loans, and it may be awhile before pricing returns to pre-pandemic levels. At a recent NeuGroup meeting for assistant treasurers, U.S. Bank provided participants with insights into revolver drawdowns and what to anticipate when refinancing or seeking new debt. Revolver pricing leaps. The volume of revolving-credit drawdowns—once taboo—has hovered at over $250 billion since leaping to that…
Capital MarketsInvestment Management
June 11, 2020

Dusting Off the Cobwebs and Retooling the Investment Policy

An inside look at portfolio governance and changes to investment strategies. When the global pandemic hit, investment managers needed to act fast to manage liquidity and move company cash to short-dated safe havens. So having flexibility in their investment management strategy was essential for reallocation of portfolios and easy access to cash. At two NeuGroup virtual meetings for investment managers, members discussed investment policies and what governance their companies have in place. What is best-in-class portfolio governance? Most member companies…
Capital MarketsCyber riskInsurance
June 9, 2020

Life Sciences Treasurers Speak to Capital Market Strategies, Insurance and Payment Fraud Mitigation

By Joseph Neu The NeuGroup Life Sciences Treasurers’ Peer Group completed its H1 meeting series last week, sponsored by Societe Generale. Here are a few takeaways I wanted to share: Three types of companies with three capital markets crisis strategies. Life sciences businesses, like those in most sectors, fall into three general capital market strategy buckets: Those needing rescue capital in order to survive through this crisis.Those looking to fortify their balance sheets.Those looking to be opportunistic to monetize high…
Capital MarketsTreasury Management
May 28, 2020

How Corporates Tapping Capital Markets Use Minority and Diversity Firms

NeuGroup members discuss benefits, challenges and process as treasury promotes diversity and inclusion.  Many treasury teams at multinational corporations strive to include firms owned by women, people of color and disabled veterans when selling debt, buying back stock or issuing commercial paper. At a recent NeuGroup meeting focusing on capital markets, members shared their insights on the process of including minority and diversity firms in various transactions.Formalize the process. The member who kicked off the discussion described her company’s path…
Capital MarketsCOVID-19
May 26, 2020

Good Timing: Blowout Bond Deals Before and After the Meltdown

Two debt issues show the benefits of both planning and flexibility when tapping capital markets.Investors clamoring for highly rated corporate bonds before the financial-market meltdown began in late February and again in early May provided opportunities for issuers to do debt deals at very attractive terms under different circumstances. Two members of NeuGroup’s Assistant Treasurers’ Leadership Group discussed with peers the key factors and market dynamics driving their companies’ deals. The similarities. Each company’s offering, one at the start of 2020 and…
Capital MarketsCOVID-19
May 26, 2020

Aligning Investment Strategy With the Shape of the Economic Recovery

Investment managers hear Neuberger Berman’s bull, bear and base case scenarios and the outlook for credit markets.The best path for some fixed-income investors amid the uncertainty created by the pandemic may be to follow the lead of the Federal Reserve and buy assets that the US central bank is buying to keep credit markets liquid. That was among the key takeaways about asset allocation at a NeuGroup virtual meeting of treasury investment managers in late April sponsored by Neuberger Berman.Bull,…
Capital MarketsInvestment ManagementRisk Management
May 21, 2020

Investment Managers Balance Need for Liquidity and Desire for Yield 

More cash and falling interest rates have some corporates weighing a return to prime funds.Many treasury teams have plenty of cash to invest but not many places to park it that offer attractive yields. That has some of them debating whether, when and how to add risk to their portfolios while preserving capital and liquidity. The challenge is figuring out “how to optimize cash in a very short portfolio,” as one member put it. Here’s some of what others said this…
Accounting & DisclosureCapital Markets
May 14, 2020

Treasury’s CECL Conundrum: How to Estimate (and Define) a Credit Loss

Treasury investment managers trying to get a better handle on FASB’s new methodology for estimating credit losses got some help this month at two NeuGroup virtual meetings. No surprise, the issue of how exactly to estimate those losses generated plenty of interest.  One of the meetings featured a presentation from EY that included the slide below. It lays out three criteria used to adjust historical loss information to develop a loss estimate. EY’s presenter said that coming up with a “reasonable and…